On the day that happens, all the nastiness will stop.
Academic Researcher Silenced by Threats to Get Him Fired from His Job After Showing Dangers of Buy-and-Hold Investing Strategies My aim is to get this story reported on the front page of the New York Times.
It explores the nuts-and-bolts aspects of Valuation-Informed Indexing - How often do you change your allocation and by how much? Nine Valuation-Informed-Indexing Portfolio Allocation Strategies This is the most popular of the 200 hour-long RobCasts that I provide at the site.It’s a very simple concept but a highly counter-intutive one and one that will someday soon change how we all think about stock investing. You are far better off paying more later because that means you get to acquire more gain-producing goodness earlier in life and thus you will enjoy more compounding return magic. So the question is whether you should want to pay more for stocks now or later. This has been so for the entire history of the market.
Should we? This calculator says “no!” Today’s price increase lowers tomorrow’s price increase. The Returns Sequence Reality Tester We all root for price gains in the stock market.The color-coded graphic gives you a good idea of what the odds are of good and bad outcomes for up to four investing strategies at a time. Then it runs the hundreds of Scenario Surfer tests to see how the strategy compares with other possibilities you identify. The Strategy Tester lets you design a strategy you want to check out. The Investor’s Strategy Tester If you are worried about losses you have suffered in recent years, you can use this tool to learn what you need to do to get back on the track to early financial freedom.What matters is what happens in the long term! This tool tells you what strategies give the best results in the long term. You will find that Valuation-Informed Indexing strategies yield larger portfolios in 90 percent of your tests of the concept. You can compare your results with what you would have achieved with a Buy-and-Hold strategy. You have the option of choosing a new stock allocation in each year of a realistic 30-year sequence of returns. it is in my assessment the most powerful tool for learning how stock investing works available today. The Investor’s Scenario Surfer I have run this calculator hundreds of time.This calculator provides all the details you need for effective planning. But they still don’t provide calculators that give the right numbers! The safe withdrawal rate is not a constant number but VARIES with changes in the valuation level that applies on the day the retirement begins. Today, The Wall Street Journal, Smart Money and The Economist all acknowledge that Rob had it right all along. That post kicked off the biggest controversy in the history of the internet. The Retirement Risk Evaluator Rob pointed out the errors in the Old School safe withdrawal rate studies in May 2002.It essentially tells you the price tag for stocks so that you can know whether they are worth buying or not. That’s a Wall Street lie! This calculator performs a regression analysis on the 140 years of historical stock-return data to reveal the most likely annualized 10-year return for stocks starting from any valuation level. The Stock-Return Predictor Stocks are NOT always worth buying.About Valuation-Informed Indexing Background, Basics and Links to Materials Giving More In-Depth Information.This article explains how the mistake was made and how we came to find ourselves in the trap we are in today.
#MAGIC CALCULATOR FOR STOCKS HOW TO#
They painted themselves into a corner and now don’t know how to get out. They were so excited about their early findings that they experienced cognitive dissonance when the mistake was revealed.
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